{"id":83820,"date":"2025-09-16T12:07:15","date_gmt":"2025-09-16T11:07:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bccg.de\/?p=83820"},"modified":"2025-09-16T12:26:26","modified_gmt":"2025-09-16T11:26:26","slug":"commentary-collaboration-practice-sep25","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bccg.de\/en\/commentary-collaboration-practice-sep25\/","title":{"rendered":"Certainty: The Most Dangerous Illusion in Leadership"},"content":{"rendered":"\t\t<div data-elementor-type=\"wp-post\" data-elementor-id=\"83820\" class=\"elementor elementor-83820 elementor-83813\" data-elementor-post-type=\"post\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<section data-particle_enable=\"false\" data-particle-mobile-disabled=\"false\" class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-717c8f4 elementor-section-stretched elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"717c8f4\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\" data-settings=\"{&quot;stretch_section&quot;:&quot;section-stretched&quot;}\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-25f5b0a\" data-id=\"25f5b0a\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-e32d5f6 elementor-widget-divider--view-line elementor-widget elementor-widget-divider\" data-id=\"e32d5f6\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"divider.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-divider\">\n\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-divider-separator\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-3a2a1ac4 elementor-widget elementor-widget-theme-post-title elementor-page-title elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"3a2a1ac4\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"theme-post-title.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<h1 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">Certainty: The Most Dangerous Illusion in Leadership<\/h1>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section data-particle_enable=\"false\" data-particle-mobile-disabled=\"false\" class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-35be3ae elementor-section-stretched elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"35be3ae\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\" data-settings=\"{&quot;stretch_section&quot;:&quot;section-stretched&quot;}\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-546a3b2\" data-id=\"546a3b2\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<section data-particle_enable=\"false\" data-particle-mobile-disabled=\"false\" class=\"elementor-section elementor-inner-section elementor-element elementor-element-cf1e45a elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"cf1e45a\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-33 elementor-inner-column elementor-element elementor-element-b0be526\" data-id=\"b0be526\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-782d7a19 elementor-align-left elementor-widget elementor-widget-post-info\" data-id=\"782d7a19\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"post-info.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<ul class=\"elementor-icon-list-items elementor-post-info\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<li class=\"elementor-icon-list-item elementor-repeater-item-9c09a88\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-icon-list-icon\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<i aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"far fa-user\"><\/i>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-icon-list-text elementor-post-info__item elementor-post-info__item--type-custom\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tBritta Posner\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/li>\n\t\t\t\t<li class=\"elementor-icon-list-item elementor-repeater-item-b888c55\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-icon-list-icon\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<i aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"far fa-calendar-alt\"><\/i>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-icon-list-text elementor-post-info__item elementor-post-info__item--type-custom\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t17. September 2025\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/li>\n\t\t\t\t<li class=\"elementor-icon-list-item elementor-repeater-item-26251a7\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-icon-list-icon\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<i aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"far fa-bookmark\"><\/i>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-icon-list-text elementor-post-info__item elementor-post-info__item--type-custom\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/bccg.de\/en\/category\/bccg-commentary\/\" rel=\"tag\">BCCG Commentary<\/a>\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/li>\n\t\t\t\t<\/ul>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-33 elementor-inner-column elementor-element elementor-element-9a33cbc\" data-id=\"9a33cbc\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-1b45f8d9 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"1b45f8d9\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p><strong>\u201cThe one sin I have come to fear above all others: certainty.\u201d\u00a0<\/strong><\/p><p>\u00a0<\/p><p>This line from Cardinal Lawrence in Robert Harris\u2019s Conclave struck me deeply as I watched its recent film adaptation on a warm summer evening overlooking Berlin\u2019s ever-changing Potsdamer Platz.<\/p><p>Up until then, I never thought of certainty as sin. In fact, certainty had always been something that I craved. For business as usual. For people to just be happy. For the confidence of knowing what comes next.<\/p><p>Yet Harris, the Cambridge-educated novelist whose book underpins the film, challenges us to look again. In Conclave he writes: \u201cCertainty is the great enemy of unity. Certainty is the deadly enemy of tolerance.\u201d<\/p><p>That made me pause. Was this the same certainty I longed for? The evolutionary drive toward predictability that once protected us from danger? The same predictability so many leaders yearn for today as they guide teams through turbulent times?<\/p><p>Harris has a point. Certainty often creates a false sense of security. It breeds over-confidence. And over-confidence rarely leads to wisdom. More often, it sets the stage for failure. Perhaps it is fortunate, then, that in today\u2019s interdependent world, neither certainty nor predictability truly exist, if indeed they ever did.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-33 elementor-inner-column elementor-element elementor-element-93a7d55\" data-id=\"93a7d55\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section data-particle_enable=\"false\" data-particle-mobile-disabled=\"false\" class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-6ced1bc elementor-section-stretched elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"6ced1bc\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\" data-settings=\"{&quot;stretch_section&quot;:&quot;section-stretched&quot;}\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-5b3f12c\" data-id=\"5b3f12c\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-2d90cc9 elementor-widget elementor-widget-image\" data-id=\"2d90cc9\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"image.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"414\" src=\"https:\/\/bccg.de\/wp-content\/uploads\/Grafik_Titel_Posner_CollaboPractice_Commentary-1024x414.jpg\" class=\"attachment-large size-large wp-image-83812\" alt=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/bccg.de\/wp-content\/uploads\/Grafik_Titel_Posner_CollaboPractice_Commentary-1024x414.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/bccg.de\/wp-content\/uploads\/Grafik_Titel_Posner_CollaboPractice_Commentary-768x310.jpg 768w, https:\/\/bccg.de\/wp-content\/uploads\/Grafik_Titel_Posner_CollaboPractice_Commentary-1536x621.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/bccg.de\/wp-content\/uploads\/Grafik_Titel_Posner_CollaboPractice_Commentary.jpg 1980w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section data-particle_enable=\"false\" data-particle-mobile-disabled=\"false\" class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-e56c2a0 elementor-section-stretched elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"e56c2a0\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\" data-settings=\"{&quot;stretch_section&quot;:&quot;section-stretched&quot;}\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-740c792\" data-id=\"740c792\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<section data-particle_enable=\"false\" data-particle-mobile-disabled=\"false\" class=\"elementor-section elementor-inner-section elementor-element elementor-element-01445b2 elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"01445b2\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-33 elementor-inner-column elementor-element elementor-element-0b2eeef\" data-id=\"0b2eeef\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-33 elementor-inner-column elementor-element elementor-element-e495d8c\" data-id=\"e495d8c\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-92b093f elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"92b093f\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p><strong>If not certainty, then what?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>But if certainty is out of reach, how do we lead with confidence? How do we shape the future of our organizations without knowing what lies ahead?<\/p>\n<p>The answer, I believe, lies in curiosity: the restless drive to seek new knowledge, perspectives, and understanding. Curiosity allows us a change of perspective, to revisit what we thought we knew with fresh eyes. It fosters tolerance, builds unity, and enables what Columbia Business School Professor Rita McGrath calls \u201cseeing around corners.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>McGrath shows us that sudden disruptions are rarely sudden at all. They are the visible peaks of long-gestating shifts \u2014 what she calls inflection points \u2014 that slowly reshape the business landscape. Leaders equipped with the right mindset and tools can learn to spot these faint murmurs before they become earthquakes. With curiosity, with foresight, and agility, they can turn disruption into competitive advantage.<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><strong>Creating space for curiosity<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>But curiosity requires time \u2014 the scarcest resource of all. In the language of adaptive leadership, this is called balcony time: the deliberate space leaders step into to change perspective, to observe, and to learn.<\/p>\n<p>Balcony time is not about a lone genius conjuring brilliant insights in isolation. It is about creating the collaborative conditions that widen our field of vision, mobilize our people for emerging challenges, and spark the creativity needed to navigate what\u2019s next.<\/p>\n<p>Collaboration amplifies curiosity. It pushes leaders to look beyond the boundaries of their own organization, to encourage experimentation, and to empower their teams to think differently. Because what comes \u201caround the corner\u201d is increasingly interdependent. No one perspective is enough.<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><strong>The real danger<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>If certainty is an illusion, then what leaders should fear most is not uncertainty, but complacency. The indifference and over-confidence that assume what got us here will carry us forward.<\/p>\n<p>Curiosity is the antidote. Collaboration is the amplifier. Together they create the conditions for healthy, sustainable organizations that can listen to the faint whispers of disruption long before they become roars.<\/p>\n<p>Leaders must demand curiosity \u2014 from themselves, their teams, and their organizations. Because in the absence of certainty, it is curiosity and collaboration that equip us with the right tools to face what comes next.<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><strong><em>Britta Posner<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><em>Founder &amp; Director, The Collaboration Practice<\/em><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-33 elementor-inner-column elementor-element elementor-element-8b03a9f\" data-id=\"8b03a9f\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section data-particle_enable=\"false\" data-particle-mobile-disabled=\"false\" class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-e8ff737 elementor-section-stretched elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"e8ff737\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\" data-settings=\"{&quot;stretch_section&quot;:&quot;section-stretched&quot;}\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-no\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-6183a8c\" data-id=\"6183a8c\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-05b3afb elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"05b3afb\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<h6>SHARE THIS<\/h6>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-b2a2623 elementor-share-buttons--view-icon 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class=\"elementor-post-navigation__separator\"><\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-post-navigation__next elementor-post-navigation__link\">\n\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/bccg.de\/en\/commentary-dez25\/\" rel=\"next\"><span class=\"elementor-post-navigation__link__next\"><span class=\"post-navigation__next--label\">Next<\/span><span class=\"post-navigation__next--title\">Die Zukunft wartet nicht: Warum nachhaltige Transformation zur unternehmerischen Kernaufgabe wird<\/span><\/span><span class=\"post-navigation__arrow-wrapper post-navigation__arrow-next\"><i aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"fas fa-angle-right\"><\/i><span class=\"elementor-screen-only\">Next<\/span><\/span><\/a>\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u201cThe one sin I have come to fear above all others: certainty.\u201d\u00a0 \u00a0 This line from Cardinal Lawrence in Robert Harris\u2019s Conclave struck me deeply as I watched its recent film adaptation on a warm summer evening overlooking Berlin\u2019s ever-changing Potsdamer Platz. Up until then, I never thought of certainty as sin. In fact, certainty&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":83812,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[53],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-83820","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bccg-commentary"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bccg.de\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/83820","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bccg.de\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bccg.de\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bccg.de\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bccg.de\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=83820"}],"version-history":[{"count":14,"href":"https:\/\/bccg.de\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/83820\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":83842,"href":"https:\/\/bccg.de\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/83820\/revisions\/83842"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bccg.de\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/83812"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bccg.de\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=83820"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bccg.de\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=83820"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bccg.de\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=83820"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}